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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3554204060801003156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.60.2
15.715.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End0.7
blue by 4.7
894
#2
21.30.8
20.221.0
Auto6.0
Teleop14.3
End1.0
Second
3618
#32
13.30.2
12.512.3
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.7
blue by 7.8
21.00.7
19.320.0
Auto10.3
Teleop8.1
End2.6
Third
5697
#37
5.40.2
5.75.4
Auto1.6
Teleop3.2
End0.6
blue by 2.6
9757
#25
8.10.7
7.27.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed