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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3662020801002871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#11
21.50.7
22.621.9
Auto6.3
Teleop12.6
End2.6
blue by 6.4
33
#3
28.01.5
25.727.2
Auto11.4
Teleop15.8
End0.8
Second
4994
#38
7.50.6
8.17.5
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.1
blue by 12.6
7166
#15
20.11.3
18.920.2
Auto8.8
Teleop9.1
End2.2
Third
7818
#36
4.80.6
5.44.8
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.1
blue by 4.9
5213
#23
9.71.3
8.49.7
Auto1.2
Teleop7.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed