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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49432030607080905647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#6
23.40.9
21.522.4
Auto7.9
Teleop13.1
End2.3
red by 4.7
2145
#19
18.70.5
17.518.0
Auto7.0
Teleop10.4
End1.2
Second
1504
#33
12.90.9
12.012.9
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.2
blue by 0.6
5282
#31
13.50.5
13.213.8
Auto1.3
Teleop11.3
End0.8
Third
7784
#13
12.11.0
10.311.3
Auto1.6
Teleop8.3
End2.1
red by 2.6
5260
#29
9.50.6
8.99.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed