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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3962020803737

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1
#8
21.8
Auto8.0
Teleop12.3
End1.5
blue by 0.3
5460
#14
22.1
Auto9.4
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Second
9662
#21
10.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End0.7
blue by 7.8
3668
#12
18.6
Auto7.2
Teleop8.9
End2.5
Third
9697
#40
6.0
Auto2.5
Teleop2.4
End1.1
blue by 7.5
9242
#22
13.5
Auto6.4
Teleop5.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed