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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444802060801006553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#18
22.01.3
20.121.4
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End2.6
red by 3.5
5660
#35
18.50.6
18.018.6
Auto3.6
Teleop13.6
End1.2
Second
6067
#16
13.81.3
12.814.1
Auto3.7
Teleop9.1
End1.0
blue by 0.1
13.90.6
13.414.0
Auto5.3
Teleop8.3
End0.3
Third
9650
#30
8.31.3
7.18.3
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.7
blue by 3.5
9648
#26
11.90.6
11.311.9
Auto2.2
Teleop8.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed