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Red92
450114.7
150135.9
271337.4
Blue89
233835.0
945819.7
131839.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89986070801101201309289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#11
37.40.7
35.536.2
Auto10.2
Teleop24.8
End2.5
blue by 1.6
39.10.1
34.634.7
Auto12.1
Teleop20.7
End6.3
Second
1501
#31
35.90.7
36.036.7
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End6.4
red by 0.9
2338
#35
35.00.1
36.636.7
Auto10.5
Teleop19.3
End5.2
Third
4501
#63
14.70.7
9.910.6
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End0.3
blue by 5.0
9458
#66
19.70.1
16.316.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
72%Ensemble oddsMissed78%Ensemble oddsMissed