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Red76
298723.7
632943.9
6735.5
Blue95
803338.8
111440.8
884011.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11484601001201401607695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#22
43.91.6
43.241.6
Auto12.9
Teleop28.8
End2.2
red by 3.2
1114
#14
40.80.7
30.931.6
Auto13.1
Teleop26.0
End1.7
Second
67
#53
35.51.6
34.032.4
Auto12.5
Teleop18.7
End4.3
blue by 3.3
38.80.7
34.335.0
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End0.8
Third
2987
#24
23.71.6
22.520.9
Auto8.0
Teleop14.0
End1.8
red by 12.1
8840
#49
11.70.7
14.515.2
Auto6.0
Teleop5.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed