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Red137
353429.2
680044.1
803338.8
Blue87
428528.9
207332.9
150135.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114110608010014016018013787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.12.3
37.840.1
Auto13.1
Teleop26.4
End4.5
red by 8.2
1501
#31
35.91.0
37.836.8
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End6.4
Second
38.82.3
37.539.8
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End0.8
red by 5.9
2073
#21
32.91.0
34.133.1
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End2.4
Third
3534
#45
29.22.3
27.730.0
Auto8.2
Teleop18.9
End2.1
red by 0.3
4285
#50
28.91.0
28.227.2
Auto9.3
Teleop19.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned47%Ensemble oddsEarned