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Red88
116018.9
621724.4
139138.8
Blue120
128820.0
22627.1
440035.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8986708010011012088120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#20
38.80.4
36.136.5
Auto11.2
Teleop24.5
End3.1
red by 3.1
4400
#43
35.70.3
34.434.7
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End2.0
Second
6217
#25
24.40.4
25.025.4
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End2.3
blue by 2.7
226
#57
27.10.3
25.025.3
Auto11.8
Teleop13.4
End1.9
Third
1160
#48
18.90.4
19.019.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End2.8
blue by 1.0
1288
#13
20.00.3
18.819.1
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned33%Ensemble oddsMissed