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Red84
432221.9
945819.7
141027.4
Blue94
46308.9
632943.9
153319.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727601002003004005008494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1410
#64
27.40.0
26.626.6
Auto12.2
Teleop13.0
End2.2
blue by 16.5
6329
#22
43.91.7
43.645.3
Auto12.9
Teleop28.8
End2.2
Second
4322
#32
21.90.0
20.820.8
Auto8.7
Teleop12.4
End0.8
red by 2.8
1533
#56
19.11.7
17.018.8
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End0.7
Third
9458
#66
19.70.0
17.917.8
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End0.3
red by 10.8
4630
#65
8.91.7
7.59.2
Auto5.8
Teleop2.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed