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Red109
233835.0
541715.2
116018.9
Blue97
412526.8
717430.8
21926.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7391020406010012014016010997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#35
35.00.6
35.636.2
Auto10.5
Teleop19.3
End5.2
red by 4.3
7174
#30
30.80.5
30.831.3
Auto10.7
Teleop17.0
End3.1
Second
1160
#48
18.90.6
19.419.9
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End2.8
blue by 7.9
4125
#54
26.80.5
24.625.0
Auto9.3
Teleop16.2
End1.3
Third
5417
#41
15.20.6
13.614.1
Auto5.6
Teleop8.8
End0.9
blue by 11.0
219
#38
26.20.5
24.825.3
Auto10.1
Teleop14.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
52%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsEarned