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Red106
6735.5
233835.0
172738.2
Blue74
542722.3
116018.9
159140.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126855010015020010674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1727
#16
38.20.2
39.439.2
Auto11.2
Teleop25.5
End1.5
blue by 1.9
1591
#19
40.11.0
38.637.7
Auto14.4
Teleop21.9
End3.8
Second
67
#53
35.50.2
33.533.3
Auto12.5
Teleop18.7
End4.3
red by 13.2
5427
#36
22.31.0
23.022.0
Auto8.0
Teleop12.1
End2.2
Third
2338
#35
35.00.2
36.236.0
Auto10.5
Teleop19.3
End5.2
red by 16.1
1160
#48
18.91.0
19.918.9
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
85%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsEarned