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Red58
641325.4
546117.1
57814.9
Blue98
588528.6
945819.7
412526.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6181020401001201405898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6413
#42
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto6.4
Teleop18.2
End0.9
blue by 3.1
5885
#67
28.61.8
27.829.6
Auto8.8
Teleop17.2
End2.6
Second
5461
#61
17.10.0
17.117.1
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End1.1
blue by 9.7
4125
#54
26.81.8
25.026.8
Auto9.3
Teleop16.2
End1.3
Third
578
#73
14.90.0
14.814.9
Auto8.9
Teleop4.4
End1.6
blue by 4.8
9458
#66
19.71.8
17.819.7
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed