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Red87
801916.0
354418.5
632943.9
Blue70
717430.8
571244.0
65862.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions878670758090951008770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#22
43.90.6
45.345.8
Auto12.9
Teleop28.8
End2.2
Level
5712
#10
44.00.5
43.342.8
Auto13.9
Teleop24.4
End5.7
Second
3544
#51
18.50.6
17.918.5
Auto7.6
Teleop9.9
End1.0
blue by 12.3
7174
#30
30.80.5
31.330.8
Auto10.7
Teleop17.0
End3.1
Third
8019
#60
16.00.6
15.516.0
Auto6.8
Teleop7.4
End1.9
red by 13.5
6586
#75
2.50.5
3.02.5
Auto0.3
Teleop0.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed61%Ensemble oddsEarned