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Red89
21926.2
97648.9
139138.8
Blue68
948348.5
353429.2
69028.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731052040601201401601808968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#20
38.80.9
36.937.8
Auto11.2
Teleop24.5
End3.1
blue by 9.7
48.51.5
50.448.8
Auto16.5
Teleop30.0
End2.0
Second
219
#38
26.20.9
25.326.2
Auto10.1
Teleop14.4
End1.6
blue by 3.0
3534
#45
29.21.5
30.729.2
Auto8.2
Teleop18.9
End2.1
Third
9764
#55
8.90.9
8.08.9
Auto4.9
Teleop3.0
End1.0
red by 0.4
6902
#68
8.61.5
10.18.6
Auto1.4
Teleop5.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed