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Red89
307530.3
589224.4
432221.9
Blue74
150135.9
268922.2
776335.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76116501001502008974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3075
#37
30.31.0
29.330.3
Auto7.0
Teleop19.1
End4.2
blue by 5.6
1501
#31
35.92.1
38.035.9
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End6.4
Second
5892
#69
24.41.0
23.424.4
Auto10.0
Teleop12.6
End1.9
blue by 10.5
7763
#26
35.02.1
37.135.0
Auto10.4
Teleop24.4
End0.2
Third
4322
#32
21.91.0
20.821.9
Auto8.7
Teleop12.4
End0.8
blue by 0.3
2689
#62
22.22.1
25.323.2
Auto7.8
Teleop14.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned54%Ensemble oddsMissed