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Red84
334119.9
261437.7
7838.4
Blue112
945228.8
298723.7
105834.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116855010015084112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#28
38.41.5
40.238.7
Auto10.8
Teleop23.9
End3.7
red by 4.2
1058
#46
34.22.1
32.134.2
Auto11.9
Teleop20.6
End1.7
Second
2614
#29
37.71.5
39.838.3
Auto12.3
Teleop19.5
End5.9
red by 9.0
9452
#33
28.82.1
26.728.8
Auto7.7
Teleop18.4
End2.6
Third
3341
#39
19.91.5
21.419.9
Auto8.7
Teleop9.9
End1.3
blue by 3.8
2987
#24
23.72.1
21.623.7
Auto8.0
Teleop14.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
72%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed