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Qual 192024 Milstein Division
Red93
953532.6
717430.8
803338.8
Blue63
131839.1
128820.0
742817.4
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11269204060801001201401609363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8033
#2
38.80.9
35.0→34.1
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End0.8
blue by 0.3
1318
#4
39.10.3
34.7→34.4
Auto12.1
Teleop20.7
End6.3
Second
9535
#8
32.60.9
29.5→28.7
Auto9.0
Teleop18.9
End4.6
red by 12.6
1288
#13
20.00.3
15.3→15.0
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Third
7174
#30
30.80.9
31.5→30.7
Auto10.7
Teleop17.0
End3.1
red by 13.4
7428
#52
17.40.3
17.7→17.4
Auto5.9
Teleop9.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsMissed62%Ensemble oddsEarned