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Qual 202024 Milstein Division
Red75
632943.9
674022.5
945228.8
Blue106
353938.6
94319.5
271337.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions998405015020075106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#22
43.90.8
41.6→40.7
Auto12.9
Teleop28.8
End2.2
red by 5.3
3539
#3
38.61.9
32.0→33.9
Auto12.6
Teleop22.6
End3.4
Second
9452
#33
28.80.8
21.0→20.2
Auto7.7
Teleop18.4
End2.6
blue by 8.7
2713
#11
37.41.9
36.2→38.1
Auto10.2
Teleop24.8
End2.5
Third
6740
#72
22.50.8
25.0→24.1
Auto9.4
Teleop12.1
End1.0
red by 13.1
9431
#58
9.51.9
9.1→11.0
Auto5.1
Teleop2.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned55%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned