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Red88
207332.9
268922.2
172738.2
Blue38
450114.7
949812.7
97648.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108240501502008838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1727
#16
38.20.0
40.340.3
Auto11.2
Teleop25.5
End1.5
red by 23.5
4501
#63
14.70.2
10.610.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End0.3
Second
2073
#21
32.90.0
29.129.1
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End2.4
red by 20.2
9498
#70
12.70.2
13.213.4
Auto6.9
Teleop5.2
End0.7
Third
2689
#62
22.20.0
18.718.7
Auto7.8
Teleop14.3
End0.1
red by 13.2
9764
#55
8.90.2
7.98.0
Auto4.9
Teleop3.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed