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Red79
571244.0
252236.7
116018.9
Blue67
96368.0
153319.1
261437.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121581001502007967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5712
#10
44.01.8
45.944.1
Auto13.9
Teleop24.4
End5.7
red by 6.2
2614
#29
37.70.3
36.136.4
Auto12.3
Teleop19.5
End5.9
Second
2522
#15
36.71.8
37.735.8
Auto11.2
Teleop22.5
End3.0
red by 17.6
1533
#56
19.10.3
18.118.4
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End0.7
Third
1160
#48
18.91.8
18.616.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End2.8
red by 11.0
9636
#71
8.00.4
5.76.1
Auto0.7
Teleop6.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
58%Ensemble oddsEarned35%Ensemble oddsEarned