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Qual 252024 Milstein Division
Red96
412526.8
645941.4
354418.5
Blue99
621724.4
298723.7
150135.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828940601001201409699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6459
#44
41.40.7
33.5→34.2
Auto11.5
Teleop28.4
End1.5
red by 5.5
1501
#31
35.90.3
36.7→37.0
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End6.4
Second
4125
#54
26.80.7
24.6→25.3
Auto9.3
Teleop16.2
End1.3
red by 2.5
6217
#25
24.40.3
21.8→22.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End2.3
Third
3544
#51
18.50.7
17.2→17.9
Auto7.6
Teleop9.9
End1.0
blue by 5.3
2987
#24
23.70.3
20.9→21.2
Auto8.0
Teleop14.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned