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Red87
145818.2
745741.7
428528.9
Blue106
60452.1
69028.6
542722.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8787758085909510010587106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7457
#18
41.70.4
35.836.2
Auto14.0
Teleop21.9
End5.8
blue by 10.4
604
#1
52.11.0
49.250.2
Auto17.3
Teleop28.5
End6.2
Second
4285
#50
28.90.4
24.925.3
Auto9.3
Teleop19.2
End0.4
red by 6.6
5427
#36
22.31.0
24.425.4
Auto8.0
Teleop12.1
End2.2
Third
1458
#74
18.20.4
18.018.4
Auto8.1
Teleop9.4
End0.6
red by 9.6
6902
#68
8.61.0
5.46.4
Auto1.4
Teleop5.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed48%Ensemble oddsEarned