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Red105
22627.1
131839.1
432221.9
Blue100
948348.5
233835.0
334119.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86113204060100120140160105100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.10.6
34.435.0
Auto12.1
Teleop20.7
End6.3
blue by 9.4
48.50.3
45.044.7
Auto16.5
Teleop30.0
End2.0
Second
226
#57
27.10.6
26.527.1
Auto11.8
Teleop13.4
End1.9
blue by 7.9
2338
#35
35.00.3
36.235.9
Auto10.5
Teleop19.3
End5.2
Third
4322
#32
21.90.6
19.920.5
Auto8.7
Teleop12.4
End0.8
red by 1.9
3341
#39
19.90.3
17.717.4
Auto8.7
Teleop9.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsEarned73%Ensemble oddsMissed