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Red68
6735.5
945228.8
440035.7
Blue94
632943.9
541715.2
7028.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94930501506894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#43
35.71.1
32.731.5
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End2.0
blue by 8.2
6329
#22
43.90.3
40.740.4
Auto12.9
Teleop28.8
End2.2
Second
67
#53
35.51.1
32.030.9
Auto12.5
Teleop18.7
End4.3
red by 7.1
70
#34
28.40.3
30.430.1
Auto6.0
Teleop17.0
End5.3
Third
9452
#33
28.81.1
20.219.1
Auto7.7
Teleop18.4
End2.6
red by 13.6
5417
#41
15.20.3
12.712.4
Auto5.6
Teleop8.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsMissed93%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsEarned42%Ensemble oddsEarned