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Qual 302024 Milstein Division
Red105
803338.8
159140.1
173145.8
Blue97
353938.6
139138.8
589224.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12710005015020010597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#6
45.80.5
43.0→42.5
Auto14.9
Teleop24.5
End6.4
red by 7.0
1391
#20
38.80.1
35.9→35.7
Auto11.2
Teleop24.5
End3.1
Second
1591
#19
40.10.5
34.7→34.2
Auto14.4
Teleop21.9
End3.8
red by 1.5
3539
#3
38.60.1
33.9→33.8
Auto12.6
Teleop22.6
End3.4
Third
8033
#2
38.80.5
34.1→33.7
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End0.8
red by 14.3
5892
#69
24.40.1
24.1→24.0
Auto10.0
Teleop12.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsEarned27%Ensemble oddsMissed