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Red49
128820.0
141027.4
450114.7
Blue65
884011.7
173033.2
588528.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions559202040801001201401604965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1410
#64
27.40.5
28.327.8
Auto12.2
Teleop13.0
End2.2
blue by 5.8
1730
#17
33.20.9
34.133.2
Auto10.7
Teleop19.1
End3.5
Second
1288
#13
20.00.5
15.014.5
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End1.9
blue by 8.6
5885
#67
28.60.9
30.129.2
Auto8.8
Teleop17.2
End2.6
Third
4501
#63
14.70.5
10.810.3
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End0.3
red by 3.0
8840
#49
11.70.9
14.713.8
Auto6.0
Teleop5.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed