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Red106
948348.5
745741.7
128820.0
Blue63
541715.2
589224.4
674022.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11359020408010012014016010663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.7
44.745.4
Auto16.5
Teleop30.0
End2.0
red by 24.1
5892
#69
24.40.0
24.023.9
Auto10.0
Teleop12.6
End1.9
Second
7457
#18
41.70.7
36.236.9
Auto14.0
Teleop21.9
End5.8
red by 19.2
6740
#72
22.50.0
22.822.8
Auto9.4
Teleop12.1
End1.0
Third
1288
#13
20.00.7
14.515.2
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End1.9
red by 4.8
5417
#41
15.20.0
12.512.5
Auto5.6
Teleop8.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
77%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed