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Red76
742817.4
588528.6
632943.9
Blue99
131839.1
7838.4
116018.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions979660801207699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#22
43.90.8
40.439.7
Auto12.9
Teleop28.8
End2.2
red by 4.9
39.10.2
35.035.2
Auto12.1
Teleop20.7
End6.3
Second
5885
#67
28.60.8
29.228.5
Auto8.8
Teleop17.2
End2.6
blue by 9.8
78
#28
38.40.2
34.534.6
Auto10.8
Teleop23.9
End3.7
Third
7428
#52
17.40.8
17.716.9
Auto5.9
Teleop9.5
End1.9
blue by 1.6
1160
#48
18.90.2
17.317.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsMissed95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed75%Ensemble oddsEarned