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Red65
440035.7
334119.9
69028.6
Blue36
949812.7
354418.5
159140.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60722040801006536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#43
35.70.6
31.532.2
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End2.0
blue by 4.4
1591
#19
40.12.0
34.232.2
Auto14.4
Teleop21.9
End3.8
Second
3341
#39
19.90.6
17.418.1
Auto8.7
Teleop9.9
End1.3
red by 1.5
3544
#51
18.52.0
17.815.8
Auto7.6
Teleop9.9
End1.0
Third
6902
#68
8.60.6
6.47.1
Auto1.4
Teleop5.0
End2.2
blue by 4.1
9498
#70
12.72.0
11.99.9
Auto6.9
Teleop5.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed