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Red108
111440.8
21926.2
353938.6
Blue65
145818.2
641325.4
150135.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1058420406012014016010865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#14
40.81.0
32.233.3
Auto13.1
Teleop26.0
End1.7
red by 4.9
1501
#31
35.90.9
36.835.9
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End6.4
Second
38.61.0
33.834.8
Auto12.6
Teleop22.6
End3.4
red by 13.2
6413
#42
25.40.9
23.322.4
Auto6.4
Teleop18.2
End0.9
Third
219
#38
26.21.0
26.627.6
Auto10.1
Teleop14.4
End1.6
red by 8.0
1458
#74
18.20.9
18.417.5
Auto8.1
Teleop9.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed