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Red74
621724.4
17526.6
252236.7
Blue73
233835.0
57814.9
207332.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions909270801001101207473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#15
36.70.6
34.834.2
Auto11.2
Teleop22.5
End3.0
red by 1.6
2338
#35
35.00.6
35.935.3
Auto10.5
Teleop19.3
End5.2
Second
175
#47
26.60.6
24.524.0
Auto9.3
Teleop15.4
End2.0
blue by 6.3
2073
#21
32.90.6
31.931.3
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End2.4
Third
6217
#25
24.40.6
23.022.5
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End2.3
red by 9.5
578
#73
14.90.6
14.113.5
Auto8.9
Teleop4.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed