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Red52
69028.6
94319.5
589224.4
Blue85
450114.7
953532.6
17935.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions419302060801001201401605285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#69
24.40.1
23.923.8
Auto10.0
Teleop12.6
End1.9
blue by 10.8
179
#12
35.20.5
34.835.3
Auto12.8
Teleop16.4
End6.1
Second
9431
#58
9.50.1
12.512.4
Auto5.1
Teleop2.2
End2.2
blue by 23.1
32.60.5
30.030.5
Auto9.0
Teleop18.9
End4.6
Third
6902
#68
8.60.1
7.17.0
Auto1.4
Teleop5.0
End2.2
blue by 6.1
4501
#63
14.70.5
12.913.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned65%Ensemble oddsMissed