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Red94
354418.5
588528.6
948348.5
Blue75
153319.1
645941.4
6735.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1009660801201409475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.0
45.445.4
Auto16.5
Teleop30.0
End2.0
red by 7.1
6459
#44
41.40.9
36.535.6
Auto11.5
Teleop28.4
End1.5
Second
5885
#67
28.60.0
28.528.4
Auto8.8
Teleop17.2
End2.6
blue by 6.9
67
#53
35.50.9
31.830.9
Auto12.5
Teleop18.7
End4.3
Third
3544
#51
18.50.0
15.815.8
Auto7.6
Teleop9.9
End1.0
blue by 0.6
1533
#56
19.10.9
18.517.6
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed58%Ensemble oddsMissed