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Red92
173033.2
334119.9
17526.6
Blue49
97648.9
46308.9
271337.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8359020401001201409249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#17
33.20.5
30.330.8
Auto10.7
Teleop19.1
End3.5
blue by 4.2
2713
#11
37.40.5
39.739.2
Auto10.2
Teleop24.8
End2.5
Second
175
#47
26.60.5
24.024.5
Auto9.3
Teleop15.4
End2.0
red by 17.7
9764
#55
8.90.5
8.17.6
Auto4.9
Teleop3.0
End1.0
Third
3341
#39
19.90.5
18.118.6
Auto8.7
Teleop9.9
End1.3
red by 11.1
4630
#65
8.90.5
8.78.2
Auto5.8
Teleop2.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsMissed