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Red85
7028.4
172738.2
65862.5
Blue86
207332.9
353938.6
641325.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7810140601201401601808586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1727
#16
38.20.6
39.640.2
Auto11.2
Teleop25.5
End1.5
blue by 0.4
38.60.2
34.834.7
Auto12.6
Teleop22.6
End3.4
Second
70
#34
28.40.6
31.332.0
Auto6.0
Teleop17.0
End5.3
blue by 4.5
2073
#21
32.90.2
31.331.2
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End2.4
Third
6586
#75
2.50.6
2.73.3
Auto0.3
Teleop0.8
End1.4
blue by 22.9
6413
#42
25.40.2
22.422.2
Auto6.4
Teleop18.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned