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Red93
745741.7
153319.1
7028.4
Blue104
233835.0
546117.1
307530.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9884406012014093104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7457
#18
41.70.2
37.237.0
Auto14.0
Teleop21.9
End5.8
red by 6.7
2338
#35
35.00.8
33.934.7
Auto10.5
Teleop19.3
End5.2
Second
70
#34
28.40.2
32.031.8
Auto6.0
Teleop17.0
End5.3
blue by 1.9
3075
#37
30.30.8
26.327.0
Auto7.0
Teleop19.1
End4.2
Third
1533
#56
19.10.2
17.617.4
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End0.7
red by 2.0
5461
#61
17.10.8
17.518.2
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
74%Ensemble oddsMissed60%Ensemble oddsEarned