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Red76
717430.8
432221.9
450114.7
Blue121
7838.4
621724.4
641325.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions689302040608012014016076121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7174
#30
30.80.8
30.931.6
Auto10.7
Teleop17.0
End3.1
blue by 7.6
78
#28
38.42.0
34.836.7
Auto10.8
Teleop23.9
End3.7
Second
4322
#32
21.90.8
20.321.1
Auto8.7
Teleop12.4
End0.8
blue by 3.6
6413
#42
25.42.0
22.224.2
Auto6.4
Teleop18.2
End0.9
Third
4501
#63
14.70.8
13.414.1
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End0.3
blue by 9.7
6217
#25
24.42.0
24.526.4
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsEarned