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Red67
945228.8
57814.9
268922.2
Blue93
139138.8
884011.7
261135.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5610201506793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9452
#33
28.80.7
21.522.3
Auto7.7
Teleop18.4
End2.6
blue by 10.1
1391
#20
38.80.4
36.136.5
Auto11.2
Teleop24.5
End3.1
Second
2689
#62
22.20.7
21.221.9
Auto7.8
Teleop14.3
End0.1
blue by 13.5
2611
#27
35.60.4
37.237.6
Auto12.8
Teleop21.5
End1.3
Third
578
#73
14.90.7
13.614.4
Auto8.9
Teleop4.4
End1.6
red by 3.2
8840
#49
11.70.4
13.914.3
Auto6.0
Teleop5.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed