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Red104
141027.4
271337.4
111440.8
Blue137
293033.9
571244.0
207332.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11511490100110120130140104137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#14
40.80.6
34.834.2
Auto13.1
Teleop26.0
End1.7
blue by 3.2
5712
#10
44.01.9
40.041.8
Auto13.9
Teleop24.4
End5.7
Second
2713
#11
37.40.6
39.238.6
Auto10.2
Teleop24.8
End2.5
red by 3.5
2930
#23
33.91.9
32.734.5
Auto13.8
Teleop16.6
End3.5
Third
1410
#64
27.40.6
29.028.4
Auto12.2
Teleop13.0
End2.2
blue by 5.5
2073
#21
32.91.9
31.233.0
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsEarned57%Ensemble oddsEarned