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Red89
11444.2
742817.4
233835.0
Blue103
354418.5
776335.0
260923.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110712040608010012014016089103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#7
44.20.4
43.342.9
Auto10.4
Teleop29.7
End4.2
red by 9.3
7763
#26
35.02.3
32.234.4
Auto10.4
Teleop24.4
End0.2
Second
2338
#35
35.00.4
34.734.2
Auto10.5
Teleop19.3
End5.2
red by 11.7
2609
#59
23.42.3
20.723.0
Auto8.7
Teleop13.9
End0.8
Third
7428
#52
17.40.4
17.316.9
Auto5.9
Teleop9.5
End1.9
blue by 1.1
3544
#51
18.52.3
15.918.1
Auto7.6
Teleop9.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
73%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed