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Red146
632943.9
948348.5
953532.6
Blue72
546117.1
105834.2
621724.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141765010015020014672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.51.8
47.349.1
Auto16.5
Teleop30.0
End2.0
red by 14.3
1058
#46
34.21.4
31.730.3
Auto11.9
Teleop20.6
End1.7
Second
6329
#22
43.91.8
42.243.9
Auto12.9
Teleop28.8
End2.2
red by 19.6
6217
#25
24.41.4
26.425.0
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End2.3
Third
32.61.8
30.131.9
Auto9.0
Teleop18.9
End4.6
red by 15.4
5461
#61
17.11.4
18.216.8
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
57%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed