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Red77
172738.2
307530.3
96368.0
Blue131
173145.8
128820.0
60452.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741365010015020077131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1727
#16
38.20.2
41.441.6
Auto11.2
Teleop25.5
End1.5
blue by 13.9
604
#1
52.10.4
52.753.2
Auto17.3
Teleop28.5
End6.2
Second
3075
#37
30.30.2
27.027.2
Auto7.0
Teleop19.1
End4.2
blue by 15.5
45.80.4
44.845.2
Auto14.9
Teleop24.5
End6.4
Third
9636
#71
8.00.2
5.75.9
Auto0.7
Teleop6.3
End0.9
blue by 12.0
1288
#13
20.00.4
18.418.8
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
54%Ensemble oddsMissed91%Ensemble oddsEarned