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Red72
261437.7
145818.2
353429.2
Blue78
17526.6
17935.2
541715.2
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions967940601201401607278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#29
37.70.9
39.738.8
Auto12.3
Teleop19.5
End5.9
red by 2.5
179
#12
35.20.3
36.436.7
Auto12.8
Teleop16.4
End6.1
Second
3534
#45
29.20.9
28.627.7
Auto8.2
Teleop18.9
End2.1
red by 2.5
175
#47
26.60.3
24.224.5
Auto9.3
Teleop15.4
End2.0
Third
1458
#74
18.20.9
16.916.1
Auto8.1
Teleop9.4
End0.6
red by 3.0
5417
#41
15.20.3
13.013.2
Auto5.6
Teleop8.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsMissed