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Red101
97648.9
803338.8
60452.1
Blue74
588528.6
260923.4
674022.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116765010015010174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#1
52.10.9
53.252.2
Auto17.3
Teleop28.5
End6.2
red by 23.5
5885
#67
28.60.3
28.628.3
Auto8.8
Teleop17.2
End2.6
Second
38.80.9
38.437.5
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End0.8
red by 15.4
2609
#59
23.40.3
23.022.7
Auto8.7
Teleop13.9
End0.8
Third
9764
#55
8.90.9
8.67.7
Auto4.9
Teleop3.0
End1.0
blue by 13.6
6740
#72
22.50.3
22.021.7
Auto9.4
Teleop12.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
56%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed