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Red79
17526.6
7838.4
145818.2
Blue104
7028.4
173145.8
354418.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831075015020079104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#28
38.40.1
37.537.6
Auto10.8
Teleop23.9
End3.7
blue by 7.5
45.80.7
45.245.9
Auto14.9
Teleop24.5
End6.4
Second
175
#47
26.60.1
24.524.6
Auto9.3
Teleop15.4
End2.0
blue by 1.7
70
#34
28.40.7
30.431.1
Auto6.0
Teleop17.0
End5.3
Third
1458
#74
18.20.1
16.116.1
Auto8.1
Teleop9.4
End0.6
blue by 0.3
3544
#51
18.50.7
18.118.8
Auto7.6
Teleop9.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed58%Ensemble oddsEarned