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Red92
252236.7
57814.9
632943.9
Blue59
541715.2
450114.7
307530.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1175201001502009259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#22
43.90.4
43.943.6
Auto12.9
Teleop28.8
End2.2
red by 13.6
3075
#37
30.30.3
27.227.5
Auto7.0
Teleop19.1
End4.2
Second
2522
#15
36.70.4
38.738.3
Auto11.2
Teleop22.5
End3.0
red by 21.4
5417
#41
15.20.3
13.213.6
Auto5.6
Teleop8.8
End0.9
Third
578
#73
14.90.4
15.114.7
Auto8.9
Teleop4.4
End1.6
red by 0.2
4501
#63
14.70.3
14.014.3
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed