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Red111
11444.2
233835.0
172738.2
Blue149
173145.8
571244.0
645941.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12914450100200250111149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#7
44.20.3
44.544.2
Auto10.4
Teleop29.7
End4.2
blue by 1.6
45.80.4
44.945.3
Auto14.9
Teleop24.5
End6.4
Second
1727
#16
38.20.3
38.538.2
Auto11.2
Teleop25.5
End1.5
blue by 5.7
5712
#10
44.00.4
43.043.4
Auto13.9
Teleop24.4
End5.7
Third
2338
#35
35.00.3
35.335.0
Auto10.5
Teleop19.3
End5.2
blue by 6.4
6459
#44
41.40.4
40.540.9
Auto11.5
Teleop28.4
End1.5