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Red136
7838.4
60452.1
948348.5
Blue104
131839.1
745741.7
139138.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159126100150200136104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#1
52.10.2
52.552.3
Auto17.3
Teleop28.5
End6.2
red by 10.4
7457
#18
41.70.5
41.240.7
Auto14.0
Teleop21.9
End5.8
Second
48.50.2
48.948.7
Auto16.5
Teleop30.0
End2.0
red by 9.4
39.10.5
38.538.0
Auto12.1
Teleop20.7
End6.3
Third
78
#28
38.40.2
38.838.6
Auto10.8
Teleop23.9
End3.7
blue by 0.5
1391
#20
38.80.5
38.337.8
Auto11.2
Teleop24.5
End3.1