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Red134
271337.4
803338.8
632943.9
Blue127
353938.6
406332.2
6735.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14311050100200134127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#22
43.90.1
45.745.9
Auto12.9
Teleop28.8
End2.2
red by 5.3
38.60.5
37.638.1
Auto12.6
Teleop22.6
End3.4
Second
38.80.1
40.540.7
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End0.8
red by 3.3
67
#53
35.50.5
34.535.0
Auto12.5
Teleop18.7
End4.3
Third
2713
#11
37.40.1
39.239.4
Auto10.2
Teleop24.8
End2.5
red by 5.3
4063
#40
32.20.5
31.131.6
Auto10.4
Teleop18.5
End3.2